Santa Fe black-on-white is a type of pottery commonly found at archaeological excavations at a certain monument. At one excavation site a sample of 606 potsherds was found, of which 351 were identified as Santa Fe black-on-white. (a) Let p represent the proportion of Santa Fe black-on-white potsherds at the excavation site. Find a point estimate for p. (Round your answer to four decimal places.) (b) Find a 95% confidence interval for p. (Round your answers to three decimal places.) lower limit upper limit

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Answer:

a) [tex]\hat p=\frac{351}{606}=0.579[/tex] estimated proportion of  posters that were identified as Santa Fe black-on-white

b)  The confidence interval would be given by this formula

[tex]\hat p \pm z_{\alpha/2} \sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n}}[/tex]

For the 95% confidence interval the value of [tex]\alpha=1-0.95=0.05[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2=0.025[/tex], with that value we can find the quantile required for the interval in the normal standard distribution.

[tex]z_{\alpha/2}=1.96[/tex]

And replacing into the confidence interval formula we got:

[tex]0.579 - 1.96 \sqrt{\frac{0.579(1-0.579)}{606}}=0.540[/tex]

[tex]0.579 + 1.96 \sqrt{\frac{0.579(1-0.579)}{606}}=0.618[/tex]

And the 95% confidence interval would be given (0.540;0.618).

Step-by-step explanation:

Data given and notation  

n=606 represent the random sample taken    

X=351 represent the posters that were identified as Santa Fe black-on-white

Part a

[tex]\hat p=\frac{351}{606}=0.579[/tex] estimated proportion of  posters that were identified as Santa Fe black-on-white

[tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] represent the significance level (no given, but is assumed)    

z would represent the statistic (variable of interest)    

Part b

The confidence interval would be given by this formula

[tex]\hat p \pm z_{\alpha/2} \sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n}}[/tex]

For the 95% confidence interval the value of [tex]\alpha=1-0.95=0.05[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2=0.025[/tex], with that value we can find the quantile required for the interval in the normal standard distribution.

[tex]z_{\alpha/2}=1.96[/tex]

And replacing into the confidence interval formula we got:

[tex]0.579 - 1.96 \sqrt{\frac{0.579(1-0.579)}{606}}=0.540[/tex]

[tex]0.579 + 1.96 \sqrt{\frac{0.579(1-0.579)}{606}}=0.618[/tex]

And the 95% confidence interval would be given (0.540;0.618).