A history professor decides to give a 10-question true-false quiz. She wants to choose the passing grade such that the probability of passing a student who guesses on every question is less than 0.10. What score should be set as the lowest passing grade?

Respuesta :

Given data

10 question true-false

Procedure

This is a binomial probability problem. Where we have two outcomes which are pass or fail. We want the probability to be less than or equal to 10%.

We assume that the probability of passing the exam is 60% which corresponds to 6/10 correct questions.

Recall that the probability for the binonamial distribution is

[tex]\text{NCn(p)}^np^{N-n}[/tex]

where:

N = Total problems

n = problems you have correct

p = probability of getting problem right

Calculating for a score of 60%

[tex]\begin{gathered} P(X\ge x)=10C6(0.5)^6(0.5)^4 \\ P(X\ge x)=0.3769 \end{gathered}[/tex]

Now, Let's try with a higher grade value to pass (80%)

[tex]\begin{gathered} P(X\ge x)=10C8(0.5)^8\cdot0.5^2 \\ P(X\ge x)=0.0546875 \end{gathered}[/tex]

The passing grade would be 80%, i.e. getting 8 correct questions.