A person with type A blood can donate red blood cells to people with type A or type AB blood. About 31% of the US population has type A blood. University High held a blood drive where 50 students donated blood.

Part A: What is the probability that exactly 17 of the students had type A blood? (5 points)

Part B: What is the probability that at least 17 of the students had type A blood? (5 points) (10 points)

Respuesta :

Answer:

A) 10.678%

B) 37.336%

Step-by-step explanation:

To find the probability that a certain number of the 50 students had type A blood, given that 31% of the US population has type A blood, we can model the given scenario as a binomial distribution.

Binomial distribution

[tex]\large\boxed{X\sim \text{B}(n,p)}[/tex]

where:

  • X is the random variable that represents the number of successes.
  • n is the fixed number of independent trials.
  • p is the probability of success in each trial.

Since we want to find the probability of students having type A blood,  we consider "type A" as the success and "type AB" as the failure, so we have:

  • [tex]n = 50[/tex]
  • [tex]p = 31\%=0.31[/tex]

Therefore:

[tex]\large\boxed{X\sim \text{B}(50,0.31)}[/tex]

where the random variable X represents the number of students with type A blood.

Part A

To find the probability that exactly 17 of the students had type A blood, we need to find P(X = 17).

To do this, we can either use the binomial probability formula, or enter the values into a statistical calculator.

Using the binomial probability formula, we get:

[tex]\displaystyle P(X = 17) = \binom{50}{17} \times 0.31^{17} \times (1 - 0.31)^{50 - 17}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 17) = 0.106779887...[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 17) = 10.678\%\;\sf(3\;d.p.)[/tex]

Therefore, the probability that exactly 17 of the students had type A blood is 10.678% (rounded to three decimal places).

Part B

To find the probability that at least 17 of the students had type A blood, we need to find P(X ≥ 17).

To do this, we can use the binomial cumulative distribution function on a calculator. As the calculator function gives us P(X ≤ x) for X ~ B(n, p), we will need to calculate P(X ≤ 16) and then subtract it from 1:

[tex]P(X \geq 17) = 1 - P(X \leq 16)[/tex]

[tex]P(X \geq 17) = 1 - 0.626641773...[/tex]

[tex]P(X \geq 17) = 0.373358226...[/tex]

[tex]P(X \geq 17) = 37.336\%\;\sf(3\;d.p.)[/tex]

Therefore, the probability that at least 17 of the students had type A blood is 37.336% (rounded to three decimal places).